Poconé vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
66.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poconé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
OPE
5 - 1
POC
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SIN
2 - 0
POC
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
LUV
1 - 0
POC
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
POC
4 - 2
OPE
20%
23%
57%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | +7 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
POC
2 - 1
MIX
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | +4 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
MIX
2 - 2
LUV
21%
27%
52%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LUV
3 - 2
TOC
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LUV
1 - 1
MIX
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
LUV
1 - 0
POC
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TOC
1 - 2
LUV
16%
24%
60%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |