Poblense vs Penya Ciutadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PBL
4 - 1
MER
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SDF
2 - 0
PBL
51%
26%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
PBL
5 - 0
FER
71%
19%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 2
PBL
30%
28%
42%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
MNU
0 - 0
PBL
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PCE
1 - 1
BNS
35%
27%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
PCE
57%
23%
20%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
PCE
1 - 0
MLL
14%
22%
64%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SDF
2 - 0
PCE
63%
22%
15%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SLL
3 - 1
PCE
25%
23%
51%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -2 |