Tercera Division Balearic Round 29

Poblense vs Mercadal analysis

Poblense Mercadal
29 ELO 27
-13% Tilt -13%
4197º General ELO ranking 7253º
129º Country ELO ranking 328º
ELO win probability
47.6%
Poblense
24.4%
Draw
28%
Mercadal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
Poblense
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28%
Win probability
Mercadal
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Poblense
+22%
+10%
Mercadal

ELO progression

Poblense
Mercadal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Poblense
Poblense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2014
CAM
Campos
0 - 0
Poblense
PBL
34%
27%
39%
29 25 4 0
08 Mar. 2014
PBL
Poblense
3 - 0
Atletico Rafal
ATL
69%
19%
13%
29 20 9 0
01 Mar. 2014
CFP
Platges de Calvià
3 - 0
Poblense
PBL
34%
26%
40%
31 25 6 -2
22 Feb. 2014
PBL
Poblense
0 - 0
Manacor
MNC
62%
21%
17%
31 24 7 0
16 Feb. 2014
MLL
Mallorca B
0 - 0
Poblense
PBL
75%
16%
9%
30 47 17 +1

Matches

Mercadal
Mercadal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2014
MER
Mercadal
3 - 2
Felanitx
FLN
65%
21%
14%
27 19 8 0
08 Mar. 2014
SNF
Santanyi
1 - 3
Mercadal
MER
13%
19%
68%
26 14 12 +1
01 Mar. 2014
MER
Mercadal
3 - 2
UD Collerense
CLL
39%
26%
35%
26 26 0 0
23 Feb. 2014
SRF
CF Sant Rafel
0 - 2
Mercadal
MER
31%
25%
44%
25 22 3 +1
16 Feb. 2014
MER
Mercadal
1 - 0
Llosetense
LLO
37%
26%
37%
24 25 1 +1