Plymouth Parkway vs Merthyr Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Parkway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
EVE
3 - 1
PLY
18%
19%
64%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MEL
4 - 3
PLY
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
HIG
3 - 5
PLY
31%
22%
47%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
BRI
4 - 2
PLY
31%
22%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PLY
5 - 1
PAU
67%
18%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
WIM
1 - 1
MER
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
KIN
1 - 1
MER
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
MER
0 - 3
POO
20%
22%
59%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MET
1 - 2
MER
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MER
0 - 2
WAL
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |