Plymouth Parkway vs Bristol Manor Farm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Parkway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
PLY
4 - 2
TIV
42%
22%
37%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PLY
6 - 0
HEN
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 1
PLY
41%
21%
38%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
YAT
4 - 0
PLY
27%
21%
52%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PLY
2 - 0
DOR
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bristol Manor Farm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LYM
2 - 4
BRI
8%
13%
79%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CIN
1 - 3
BRI
18%
19%
63%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 3
BIS
75%
15%
9%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 0
GOS
27%
26%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SHO
3 - 2
BRI
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |