Championship Round 31

Plymouth Argyle vs Southampton analysis

Plymouth Argyle Southampton
67 ELO 79
-3.6% Tilt -7.9%
1443º General ELO ranking 321º
48º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
26.1%
Plymouth Argyle
27.2%
Draw
46.7%
Southampton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
Plymouth Argyle
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
46.7%
Win probability
Southampton
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Plymouth Argyle
+3%
-3%
Southampton

ELO progression

Plymouth Argyle
Southampton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 2006
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
1 - 0
Leicester
LEI
38%
27%
35%
66 72 6 0
21 Jan. 2006
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 2
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
42%
26%
33%
65 58 7 +1
14 Jan. 2006
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
1 - 1
Norwich City
NOR
31%
27%
42%
65 74 9 0
07 Jan. 2006
WOL
Wolves
1 - 0
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
65%
21%
14%
66 76 10 -1
02 Jan. 2006
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
0 - 3
Leeds United
LEE
29%
28%
43%
66 78 12 0

Matches

Southampton
Southampton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2006
LEI
Leicester
0 - 1
Southampton
SOU
35%
27%
38%
79 71 8 0
25 Jan. 2006
SOU
Southampton
0 - 0
Crystal Palace
CRY
45%
25%
31%
79 79 0 0
21 Jan. 2006
SOU
Southampton
0 - 2
Ipswich Town
IPS
62%
22%
16%
80 71 9 -1
14 Jan. 2006
QPR
Queens Park Rangers
1 - 0
Southampton
SOU
25%
27%
49%
80 66 14 0
07 Jan. 2006
SOU
Southampton
4 - 3
Milton Keynes Dons
MKD
80%
14%
6%
80 59 21 0