League Two Round 38

Plymouth Argyle vs Bristol Rovers analysis

Plymouth Argyle Bristol Rovers
52 ELO 54
-5.4% Tilt -5.1%
1445º General ELO ranking 3536º
48º Country ELO ranking 92º
ELO win probability
38.9%
Plymouth Argyle
25.9%
Draw
35.2%
Bristol Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
Plymouth Argyle
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.2%
Win probability
Bristol Rovers
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Plymouth Argyle
-2%
-23%
Bristol Rovers

ELO progression

Plymouth Argyle
Bristol Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2012
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
1 - 0
Shrewsbury Town
STF
21%
26%
53%
51 64 13 0
10 Mar. 2012
ROT
Rotherham United
1 - 0
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
55%
24%
20%
52 56 4 -1
06 Mar. 2012
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 2
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
57%
23%
20%
51 53 2 +1
03 Mar. 2012
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
0 - 1
Gillingham
GIL
32%
26%
43%
52 58 6 -1
28 Feb. 2012
MAC
Macclesfield Town
1 - 1
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
43%
27%
30%
52 51 1 0

Matches

Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2012
BRO
Bristol Rovers
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
44%
25%
31%
54 54 0 0
10 Mar. 2012
GUL
Torquay United
2 - 2
Bristol Rovers
BRO
61%
22%
16%
53 63 10 +1
06 Mar. 2012
NOR
Northampton
3 - 2
Bristol Rovers
BRO
39%
25%
37%
54 49 5 -1
03 Mar. 2012
BRO
Bristol Rovers
0 - 0
Macclesfield Town
MAC
56%
23%
20%
54 51 3 0
25 Feb. 2012
ROT
Rotherham United
0 - 1
Bristol Rovers
BRO
51%
24%
25%
53 57 4 +1