Plus Ultra vs Minerva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
74.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
EGP
2 - 0
PLU
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 1
PLU
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PLU
0 - 4
UCA
9%
20%
72%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
AGU
10 - 0
PLU
85%
11%
4%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PLU
0 - 4
PUL
7%
18%
76%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
MIN
2 - 1
OLI
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
MIN
0 - 1
BUL
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
PUL
4 - 1
MIN
69%
19%
12%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
MIN
1 - 3
IMP
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
CHU
1 - 0
MIN
37%
25%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |