Plus Ultra vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
PLU
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PLU
2 - 2
PUL
27%
25%
48%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
UCA
6 - 0
PLU
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
PLU
1 - 2
IMP
13%
23%
64%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
PLU
42%
25%
33%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ABA
3 - 4
JUM
18%
24%
58%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 1
ABA
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ABA
0 - 0
YEC
7%
17%
77%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 0
ABA
36%
26%
37%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ABA
3 - 1
SAN
20%
24%
57%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |