Plus Ultra vs Independiente Ceutí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
+130%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
RAA
1 - 2
PLU
24%
24%
52%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
PLU
3 - 0
CLU
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
YEC
2 - 1
PLU
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PLU
1 - 2
CDB
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CFC
3 - 0
PLU
55%
24%
21%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Ceutí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CEU
1 - 1
YEC
30%
24%
46%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CDB
2 - 0
CEU
65%
18%
17%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CEU
0 - 2
CIE
33%
24%
43%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
CEU
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CEU
1 - 3
MSM
44%
24%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |