Plus Ultra vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
+138%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1996 |
MAN
2 - 0
PLU
45%
25%
30%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
PLU
1 - 1
ARE
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 1
PLU
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
PLU
0 - 0
JUV
27%
27%
46%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
POL
7 - 1
PLU
77%
16%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1996 |
BAE
0 - 3
ROC
40%
26%
35%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1996 |
BAZ
0 - 0
BAE
27%
28%
45%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
BAE
0 - 0
CDL
37%
27%
36%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 1
BAE
34%
29%
37%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
BAE
0 - 0
ANT
63%
22%
15%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |