Wisła Płock vs Piast Gliwice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
1º
4º
2º
0
10º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
3 | 53 |
1º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
6 | 53 |
2º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 51 |
3º
|
7.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 50 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 50 |
5º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 50 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 50 |
7º
|
3.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 49 |
8º
|
3% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 48 |
9º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 48 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 47 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 47 |
12º
|
6% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 45 |
13º
|
5.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 45 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 42 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 41 |
16º
|
6.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 39 |
17º
|
15% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
18º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
10% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
17.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
58.5% | 45% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 52% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisła Płock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
RAK
1 - 2
PLO
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
PLO
2 - 0
KOR
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
MOT
2 - 2
PLO
30%
24%
46%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -7 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
MIE
1 - 2
PLO
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
ZAL
0 - 2
PLO
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
PGL
0 - 1
GÓR
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
POD
1 - 1
PGL
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
WLO
1 - 0
PGL
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
PGL
0 - 0
BAN
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
ODR
2 - 1
PGL
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |