Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
50.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
PLA
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
LFC
1 - 1
PLA
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
PLA
1 - 2
FEN
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ETS
0 - 0
PLA
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
PLA
0 - 0
JUN
38%
28%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 0
LFC
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
FEN
1 - 1
DEF
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
DEF
3 - 1
BOS
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
JUN
1 - 2
DEF
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 2
LIG
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |