Plaza Amador vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 0
AMA
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 1
ARA
35%
30%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CHE
3 - 1
AMA
43%
27%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 3
AMA
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 0
CHO
41%
28%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SFF
2 - 2
NAC
61%
24%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 2
NAC
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 2
CHE
34%
29%
37%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
SMI
1 - 2
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 1
NAC
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |