VFC Plauen vs Budissa Bautzen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
17.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
10º
1º
35
6º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VFC Plauen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VFB
3 - 0
PLA
42%
22%
36%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 0
LFC
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 0
SVA
80%
12%
8%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
EWD
2 - 3
PLA
28%
20%
52%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 1
SVG
76%
14%
10%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Budissa Bautzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BUD
4 - 1
EWD
49%
21%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SVG
1 - 2
BUD
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BUD
0 - 3
GER
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -3 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
3 - 0
BUD
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 1
BIS
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |