Platense vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
12%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
57.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
SAR
1 - 0
PLA
53%
27%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
PLA
0 - 1
ALD
35%
29%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
GLP
2 - 2
PLA
71%
20%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
PLA
4 - 1
CEN
19%
25%
56%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
PLA
66%
23%
11%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
IND
2 - 0
PAT
63%
23%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
EST
0 - 1
IND
35%
30%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
IND
1 - 1
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
ARG
50%
28%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |