Plasencia vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
15º
16º
15º
46
1º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
PLA
48%
26%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 1
TRU
18%
23%
59%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
PLA
55%
24%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PLA
4 - 1
CDD
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 1
PLA
64%
21%
15%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ARR
1 - 0
TRU
26%
25%
50%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 0
ARR
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ARR
0 - 1
AZU
21%
24%
55%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ADL
1 - 0
ARR
70%
19%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ARR
2 - 1
UCL
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |