Plabennec vs OC Cesson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
22.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
11º
30
4º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
80% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 0
DIN
30%
25%
46%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
PLA
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 7
BRE
63%
20%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SBR
1 - 0
PLA
25%
21%
54%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 1
LOC
56%
21%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
OC Cesson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
SBR
3 - 2
CES
41%
23%
37%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CES
4 - 0
DOL
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LAT
3 - 1
CES
42%
22%
35%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CES
1 - 1
LAN
40%
23%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 2
CES
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |