Piteå vs Umeå FC Akademi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
2º
1º
4
4º
6º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
18 | 29 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 26 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 21 |
3º
|
64.5% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 14 |
4º
|
43.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 13 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 10 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
|
6º
|
4 | 7 |
7º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
70% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
30% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piteå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
GIF
0 - 2
PIT
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
PIT
5 - 1
SKE
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
PIT
2 - 1
KFF
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
SKE
2 - 4
PIT
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
2 - 2
PIT
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Umeå FC Akademi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
UAK
1 - 2
OST
25%
21%
55%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
UAK
4 - 1
TAF
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
GIF
0 - 2
UAK
56%
21%
24%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
UAK
2 - 3
FRI
28%
22%
49%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
KUB
3 - 1
UAK
13%
16%
72%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -2 |