Pistoiese vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
ACD
3 - 1
PIS
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 1
PIS
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
PIS
1 - 1
ASA
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
PIS
2 - 1
PIS
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PIS
0 - 2
ACD
18%
26%
56%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
OLB
0 - 0
SIE
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SIE
3 - 2
JS2
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
CUN
1 - 1
SIE
20%
25%
56%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SIE
3 - 1
USA
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ARZ
3 - 3
SIE
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |