Pistoiese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
27.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
USF
1 - 3
PIS
53%
27%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ACI
0 - 0
PIS
42%
31%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
PIS
0 - 0
CHI
57%
26%
17%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
NAP
2 - 0
PIS
65%
24%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
PIS
1 - 1
SSM
53%
26%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
ASL
1 - 1
CHI
63%
24%
14%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
PIS
1 - 1
ASL
44%
29%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
ASL
2 - 1
ACI
47%
28%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
SAS
0 - 0
ASL
49%
28%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ASL
3 - 2
GRO
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |