Pinkafeld vs Pama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
13º
16º
15º
32
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
96.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
7º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 39 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
49.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 23 |
15º
|
94% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinkafeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 1
PIN
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PIN
0 - 2
STM
33%
23%
44%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 6
HAL
31%
22%
48%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MAT
5 - 0
PIN
24%
20%
57%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 3
BAS
44%
22%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PAM
1 - 3
MAT
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 0
PAM
73%
15%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PAM
2 - 2
JEN
38%
22%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 2
PAM
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
DEU
2 - 0
PAM
73%
15%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |