Pinhalnovense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
ATL
7 - 3
PIN
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PIN
2 - 1
FAB
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PIN
4 - 0
COV
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
PIN
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PIN
0 - 0
LOU
38%
26%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
FER
3 - 1
LUS
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
QUA
58%
23%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PRA
3 - 0
LUS
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LUS
6 - 0
ALJ
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 1
LUS
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |