Pinhalnovense vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PIN
3 - 0
MOU
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 2
PIN
28%
26%
47%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PIN
1 - 1
MAF
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
PIN
60%
22%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PIN
1 - 2
EVN
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FAT
2 - 0
JUV
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MAF
1 - 1
FAT
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FAT
3 - 2
CAL
51%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
EVN
1 - 2
FAT
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FAT
1 - 0
1DE
72%
17%
10%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |