Pinhalnovense vs Esperança de Lagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinhalnovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 3
PIN
23%
21%
56%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PIN
4 - 3
ALJ
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SIN
1 - 0
PIN
43%
25%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PIN
4 - 1
ARM
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
REA
2 - 1
PIN
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Esperança de Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
EDL
2 - 1
OLH
11%
19%
70%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
4 - 0
EDL
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
EDL
1 - 0
1DE
47%
22%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LGC
3 - 1
EDL
61%
19%
21%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
EDL
1 - 0
FAB
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |