Pilcomayo vs CA Colegiales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
76.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pilcomayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
PIL
0 - 2
AME
1%
4%
95%
|
10 | 76 | 66 | 0 |
Matches
CA Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 1
FER
29%
27%
45%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 3
SPO
30%
28%
41%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
CAC
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CAC
0 - 1
RES
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
RÑU
3 - 2
CAC
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |