Piera vs Olivella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
11.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PIE
3 - 1
MUN
46%
21%
33%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 3
PIE
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MIG
0 - 1
PIE
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PIE
4 - 1
LGR
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
SIT
3 - 2
PIE
72%
16%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olivella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MIG
3 - 0
OLI
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
LGR
58%
20%
22%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SIT
4 - 0
OLI
76%
14%
10%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
SPM
42%
22%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LRO
3 - 0
OLI
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |