Picerno vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
REG
4 - 1
PIC
69%
20%
11%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PIC
0 - 0
FRA
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 0
PIC
75%
16%
8%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
BIS
2 - 2
PIC
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
PIC
0 - 1
BAR
18%
25%
57%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 2
USV
39%
25%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TER
2 - 1
PAG
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PAG
3 - 1
AVE
20%
23%
57%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
PAG
1 - 1
REG
27%
28%
45%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 2
PAG
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |