Piacenza vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 0
FOL
84%
12%
4%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CIS
1 - 1
PIA
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ACL
1 - 1
PIA
52%
26%
22%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 1
REN
44%
26%
29%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 0
PIA
88%
10%
2%
|
40 | 82 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PER
1 - 2
INV
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 0
PER
36%
27%
37%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 1
PER
54%
25%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PER
2 - 1
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
PER
38%
28%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |