Gamma Ethniki round 20

Philippos Alexandreia vs Thesprotos analysis

Philippos Alexandreia Thesprotos
32 ELO 44
-4.5% Tilt -10.7%
7269º General ELO ranking 5779º
81º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
28.9%
Philippos Alexandreia
22.6%
Draw
48.5%
Thesprotos

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
Philippos Alexandreia
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
48.5%
Win probability
Thesprotos
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Philippos Alexandreia
+95%
-24%
Thesprotos

Points and table prediction

Philippos Alexandreia
Their league position
Thesprotos
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
14º
10º
54
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Anagennisi Karditsas
85
88
74.5%
Pierikos
84
87
74.5%
Tilikratis
56
56
25%
Anagennisi Arta
56
56
29.5%
Trikala
53
54
11.5%
Thesprotos
54
54
36%
Anthoupoli
54
54
73.5%
Aris Filiaton
50
51
28%
Zakynthos
50
51
18%
Philippos Alexandreia
10º
50
50
10º
28.5%
Kozani FC
11º
49
50
11º
16.5%
Aiginiakos
12º
47
50
12º
42.5%
Olympiakos Volos
13º
44
45
13º
97%
Atromitos Palamas
14º
38
39
14º
100%
Amvrakikos Vonitsas
15º
22
23
15º
100%
Svoronos
17º
7
19
16º
100%
Ermis Amyntaio
16º
8
9
17º
30.5%
Asteras Petriti
18º
0
9
18º
30.5%
Expected probabilities
Philippos Alexandreia
Thesprotos
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
57.5% 100%
Relegation
42.5% 0%

ELO progression

Philippos Alexandreia
Thesprotos
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Philippos Alexandreia
Philippos Alexandreia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2025
AMV
Amvrakikos Vonitsas
0 - 0
Philippos Alexandreia
PHA
33%
22%
45%
31 24 7 0
12 Jan. 2025
PHA
Philippos Alexandreia
0 - 0
Olympiakos Volos
OLY
48%
22%
29%
30 34 4 +1
05 Jan. 2025
GAS
Svoronos
1 - 1
Philippos Alexandreia
PHA
59%
20%
21%
30 37 7 0
21 Dec. 2024
TRI
Trikala
0 - 0
Philippos Alexandreia
PHA
59%
21%
20%
29 41 12 +1
15 Dec. 2024
PHA
Philippos Alexandreia
2 - 1
Ermis Amyntaio
EMA
81%
12%
7%
29 13 16 0

Matches

Thesprotos
Thesprotos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2025
THE
Thesprotos
1 - 0
Trikala
TRI
47%
26%
27%
43 41 2 0
05 Jan. 2025
THE
Thesprotos
0 - 1
Pierikos
PIE
37%
29%
35%
44 48 4 -1
21 Dec. 2024
PAL
Atromitos Palamas
0 - 0
Thesprotos
THE
21%
22%
57%
44 28 16 0
15 Dec. 2024
THE
Thesprotos
0 - 0
Anagennisi Arta
AGN
53%
25%
23%
43 40 3 +1
11 Dec. 2024
ANA
Anagennisi Karditsas
1 - 0
Thesprotos
THE
71%
18%
11%
44 56 12 -1