MLS . 1/16
Global 4-1
Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NER
2 - 1
PHU
40%
26%
35%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PHU
0 - 0
NSC
58%
23%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
PHU
3 - 2
AFC
55%
23%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
COC
1 - 1
PHU
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
PHU
1 - 1
DAL
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NER
2 - 1
PHU
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
NSC
3 - 2
NER
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ORL
3 - 2
NER
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
NER
1 - 2
COC
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NER
2 - 1
CHA
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |