PHC Zebras vs Somerset Trojans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.2%
15.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
6º
1º
17
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PHC Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PHC
4 - 0
ROB
57%
19%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PHC
0 - 1
NOR
55%
20%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
HOR
5 - 2
PHC
52%
21%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 2
PHC
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
PHC
4 - 1
SOM
58%
19%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SOM
0 - 1
STG
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
DEV
6 - 0
SOM
44%
24%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
XRW
3 - 1
SOM
31%
21%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
SOM
6 - 1
SOU
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
PHC
4 - 1
SOM
58%
19%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |