Sochi vs FC Orenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
44.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sochi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FAK
2 - 0
SOC
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KRS
2 - 1
SOC
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
CSK
1 - 1
SOC
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 0
SOC
68%
19%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
GAZ
3 - 0
SOC
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Orenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GAZ
3 - 1
ZEN
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
OLY
3 - 1
GAZ
21%
24%
54%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
GAZ
0 - 0
FAK
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LOK
0 - 2
GAZ
56%
22%
23%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
GAZ
3 - 0
SOC
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |