Russian Premier League Round 27

Sochi vs FK Rostov analysis

Sochi FK Rostov
78 ELO 79
8.3% Tilt 2%
1979º General ELO ranking 874º
19º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
43.6%
Sochi
25%
Draw
31.4%
FK Rostov

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
Sochi
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.4%
Win probability
FK Rostov
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sochi
-12%
-15%
FK Rostov

Points and table prediction

Sochi
Their league position
FK Rostov
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
10º
10º
53
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Zenit
70
70
100%
CSKA Moskva
58
58
100%
Spartak Moskva
54
54
100%
FK Rostov
53
53
100%
Akhmat Grozny
50
50
100%
FK Krasnodar
48
48
100%
FC Orenburg
46
46
100%
Lokomotiv Moskva
45
45
100%
Dinamo Moskva
45
45
100%
Sochi
10º
38
38
10º
100%
Ural Yekaterinburg
11º
36
36
11º
100%
Krylia Sovetov
12º
32
32
12º
100%
Fakel
13º
30
30
13º
0%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
14º
30
30
14º
0%
FK Khimki
15º
18
18
15º
100%
Torpedo Moscow
16º
13
13
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sochi
FK Rostov
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sochi
FK Rostov
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sochi
Sochi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 2023
LOK
Lokomotiv Moskva
3 - 0
Sochi
SOC
53%
24%
24%
78 79 1 0
30 Apr. 2023
SOC
Sochi
3 - 1
Torpedo Moscow
TOR
70%
19%
11%
77 65 12 +1
23 Apr. 2023
TER
Akhmat Grozny
1 - 0
Sochi
SOC
40%
26%
34%
78 77 1 -1
15 Apr. 2023
SOC
Sochi
0 - 2
FK Krasnodar
KRA
39%
25%
37%
78 81 3 0
09 Apr. 2023
SOC
Sochi
1 - 2
Krylia Sovetov
KRS
49%
24%
27%
79 76 3 -1

Matches

FK Rostov
FK Rostov
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2023
FCR
FK Rostov
0 - 2
Fakel
FAK
70%
19%
11%
80 65 15 0
29 Apr. 2023
SPA
Spartak Moskva
1 - 1
FK Rostov
FCR
59%
22%
19%
80 83 3 0
23 Apr. 2023
URA
Ural Yekaterinburg
1 - 3
FK Rostov
FCR
29%
27%
45%
80 75 5 0
16 Apr. 2023
FCR
FK Rostov
0 - 0
Zenit
ZEN
33%
26%
41%
80 85 5 0
10 Apr. 2023
GAZ
FC Orenburg
2 - 2
FK Rostov
FCR
43%
25%
32%
79 76 3 +1