Montana vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BGA
1 - 2
MON
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
DOB
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
PIR
2 - 2
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MON
4 - 1
KAL
49%
25%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FKV
0 - 1
MON
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ASV
0 - 3
SVA
25%
27%
49%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SVA
2 - 1
BGA
63%
24%
13%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
DOB
1 - 0
SVA
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SVA
3 - 0
PIR
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
KAL
0 - 2
SVA
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |