B PFG Round 18

Montana vs Kariana Erden analysis

Montana Kariana Erden
65 ELO 56
21.3% Tilt -17.4%
2294º General ELO ranking 32745º
15º Country ELO ranking 194º
ELO win probability
69.4%
Montana
18.4%
Draw
12.2%
Kariana Erden

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
Montana
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.2%
Win probability
Kariana Erden
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Montana
Kariana Erden
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montana
Montana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2019
MON
Montana
6 - 1
Chernomorets Balchik
CHE
75%
16%
9%
64 52 12 0
23 Nov. 2019
LOV
Litex Lovech
0 - 1
Montana
MON
53%
25%
22%
63 64 1 +1
09 Nov. 2019
MON
Montana
0 - 2
Septemvri Sofia
SEP
44%
25%
31%
64 67 3 -1
24 Oct. 2019
MON
Montana
2 - 0
Strumska Slava
STR
79%
15%
7%
64 51 13 0
19 Oct. 2019
LOK
Lokomotiv GO
2 - 1
Montana
MON
32%
29%
40%
64 54 10 0

Matches

Kariana Erden
Kariana Erden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2019
BVR
Botev Vratsa
4 - 0
Kariana Erden
KAR
60%
21%
19%
58 65 7 0
30 Nov. 2019
SVA
Spartak Varna
1 - 2
Kariana Erden
KAR
28%
26%
47%
57 45 12 +1
23 Nov. 2019
KAR
Kariana Erden
2 - 3
Spartak Pleven
SPA
66%
19%
14%
58 49 9 -1
15 Nov. 2019
LUD
Ludogorets II
1 - 1
Kariana Erden
KAR
36%
27%
38%
58 52 6 0
10 Nov. 2019
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
2 - 0
Kariana Erden
KAR
48%
27%
25%
59 61 2 -1