Petrocub Hîncești vs Zimbru Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
1º
1º
17
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
17 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrocub Hîncești
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 1
PET
24%
28%
49%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PET
7 - 0
FCD
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ZAR
0 - 1
PET
23%
23%
54%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PET
2 - 1
SHF
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
PET
5 - 1
ZAR
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ZIM
2 - 0
SHF
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ZIM
31%
28%
42%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SHF
1 - 1
ZIM
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ZIM
2 - 0
FCD
67%
21%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ZIM
1 - 0
SHF
32%
25%
44%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +2 |