New Zealand National League National League Round 9

Petone vs Manurewa analysis

Petone Manurewa
23 ELO 28
4.2% Tilt 3.1%
12812º General ELO ranking 11919º
41º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
39.2%
Petone
21.6%
Draw
39.2%
Manurewa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
Petone
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
39.2%
Win probability
Manurewa
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Petone
-5%
-31%
Manurewa

Points and table prediction

Petone
Their league position
Manurewa
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
10º
13
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Auckland City
21
21
100%
Wellington Olympic
20
20
100%
Christchurch United
16
16
100%
Eastern Suburbs
15
15
100%
Cashmere Technical
13
13
0%
Manurewa
13
13
0%
Wellington Phoenix II
12
12
100%
Auckland United
10
10
100%
Napier City Rovers
7
7
100%
Petone
10º
1
1
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Petone
Manurewa
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Petone
Manurewa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Petone
Petone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2023
WEL
Wellington Phoenix II
3 - 2
Petone
PET
82%
11%
7%
24 38 14 0
04 Nov. 2023
PET
Petone
0 - 2
Auckland City
AUC
12%
17%
71%
25 55 30 -1
28 Oct. 2023
WEL
Wellington Olympic
2 - 1
Petone
PET
90%
7%
3%
25 47 22 0
21 Oct. 2023
CHR
Christchurch United
3 - 0
Petone
PET
81%
12%
7%
26 44 18 -1
14 Oct. 2023
PET
Petone
0 - 1
Auckland United
AFC
21%
20%
60%
27 42 15 -1

Matches

Manurewa
Manurewa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2023
MAN
Manurewa
0 - 0
Auckland United
AFC
24%
21%
55%
27 39 12 0
05 Nov. 2023
EAS
Eastern Suburbs
3 - 0
Manurewa
MAN
79%
13%
8%
28 45 17 -1
29 Oct. 2023
MAN
Manurewa
5 - 3
Cashmere Technical
CAS
10%
13%
77%
24 41 17 +4
22 Oct. 2023
NAP
Napier City Rovers
0 - 1
Manurewa
MAN
76%
13%
11%
23 31 8 +1
14 Oct. 2023
CHR
Christchurch United
1 - 2
Manurewa
MAN
85%
10%
5%
22 44 22 +1