Petone vs Manurewa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
50.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
9º
10º
10º
13
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 2
PET
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PET
0 - 2
AUC
10%
16%
74%
|
21 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 1
PET
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CHR
3 - 0
PET
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
AFC
15%
17%
68%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 0
AFC
24%
21%
56%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
EAS
3 - 0
MAN
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
5 - 3
CAS
9%
13%
78%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +5 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 1
MAN
77%
13%
10%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CHR
1 - 2
MAN
86%
10%
5%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |