Peterhead vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
3º
1º
40
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PET
2 - 1
FOR
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
PET
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HIB
4 - 0
PET
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
KHE
0 - 1
PET
52%
23%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PET
4 - 2
ELG
43%
23%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
BRA
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CLY
1 - 0
STR
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
SPA
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
STI
2 - 2
STR
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
STR
0 - 3
HAM
10%
17%
73%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |