Peterhead vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 1
PET
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
PET
1 - 2
GRE
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 2
PET
35%
24%
41%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
AIR
0 - 2
PET
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PET
1 - 1
STI
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
DUM
1 - 0
LIV
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 0
QOS
38%
24%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
QOS
1 - 1
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
LIV
4 - 1
HOM
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LIV
2 - 1
CWB
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |