Peterhead vs Kelty Hearts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
72.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
10º
40
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CLY
1 - 0
PET
57%
21%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 0
PET
80%
14%
7%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PET
1 - 3
QOS
11%
18%
71%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PET
1 - 0
CLY
34%
27%
40%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 0
PET
76%
16%
7%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KHE
3 - 0
QOS
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KHE
1 - 2
FAL
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MON
3 - 3
KHE
44%
25%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
KHE
1 - 1
AIR
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
QOS
0 - 0
KHE
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |