Second Division Round 36

Peterhead vs Falkirk analysis

Peterhead Falkirk
36 ELO 60
-12.5% Tilt 9.5%
3596º General ELO ranking 398º
44º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
9.8%
Peterhead
19.8%
Draw
70.4%
Falkirk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
Peterhead
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
70.3%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Peterhead
-12%
+3%
Falkirk

Points and table prediction

Peterhead
Their league position
Falkirk
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
10º
10º
64
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dunfermline Athletic FC
79
79
100%
Falkirk
64
65
100%
Airdrieonians
57
58
47.5%
Alloa Athletic
58
58
47.5%
Edinburgh City
51
52
41.5%
Queen of the South
51
52
34%
Montrose
48
51
63.5%
Kelty Hearts
40
41
100%
Clyde
21
21
100%
Peterhead
10º
16
17
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Peterhead
Falkirk
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Peterhead
Falkirk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Peterhead
Peterhead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2023
KHE
Kelty Hearts
2 - 1
Peterhead
PET
75%
16%
9%
37 52 15 0
22 Apr. 2023
PET
Peterhead
1 - 1
Clyde
CLY
28%
27%
45%
37 43 6 0
15 Apr. 2023
MON
Montrose
2 - 1
Peterhead
PET
78%
14%
8%
37 51 14 0
11 Apr. 2023
PET
Peterhead
0 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
10%
20%
70%
37 65 28 0
08 Apr. 2023
PET
Peterhead
1 - 0
Edinburgh City
EDI
12%
21%
68%
36 52 16 +1

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2023
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 3
Inverness CT
ICT
31%
24%
45%
61 67 6 0
22 Apr. 2023
ALL
Alloa Athletic
1 - 4
Falkirk
FAL
31%
27%
43%
60 55 5 +1
18 Apr. 2023
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 2
Edinburgh City
EDI
66%
20%
13%
61 50 11 -1
15 Apr. 2023
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 2
Airdrieonians
AIR
46%
26%
28%
61 60 1 0
11 Apr. 2023
MON
Montrose
1 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
29%
25%
46%
61 52 9 0