Second Division Round 36

Peterhead vs Ayr United analysis

Peterhead Ayr United
59 ELO 62
14.6% Tilt 5.4%
3528º General ELO ranking 809º
43º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
47.4%
Peterhead
24.5%
Draw
28%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
Peterhead
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28%
Win probability
Ayr United
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Peterhead
-3%
-6%
Ayr United

ELO progression

Peterhead
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Peterhead
Peterhead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2009
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 2
Peterhead
PET
32%
27%
41%
60 53 7 0
25 Apr. 2009
PET
Peterhead
1 - 1
Stirling Albion
STI
60%
21%
19%
60 55 5 0
18 Apr. 2009
STR
Stranraer
0 - 1
Peterhead
PET
24%
25%
52%
60 41 19 0
11 Apr. 2009
PET
Peterhead
0 - 1
Brechin City
BRE
54%
23%
23%
60 59 1 0
04 Apr. 2009
ALL
Alloa Athletic
1 - 2
Peterhead
PET
40%
25%
35%
60 53 7 0

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2009
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 1
Alloa Athletic
ALL
68%
19%
13%
62 53 9 0
25 Apr. 2009
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 0
East Fife
EAS
67%
20%
13%
61 54 7 +1
18 Apr. 2009
BRE
Brechin City
1 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
47%
25%
29%
62 60 2 -1
11 Apr. 2009
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 3
Ayr United
AYR
29%
27%
45%
61 53 8 +1
04 Apr. 2009
AYR
Ayr United
3 - 1
Stirling Albion
STI
57%
22%
21%
61 57 4 0