Peterhead vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
PET
1 - 1
QUE
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
STR
0 - 3
PET
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
RAI
3 - 3
PET
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
PET
1 - 0
STR
76%
16%
9%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
EAS
0 - 3
PET
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ARB
0 - 0
BRE
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
STI
1 - 1
ARB
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ARB
3 - 0
QUE
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
STR
1 - 5
ARB
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ARB
1 - 0
ALL
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |