Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
66.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
10º
58
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
QOS
2 - 0
PET
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PET
0 - 4
FAL
16%
23%
61%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
EDI
2 - 0
PET
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 2
PET
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
PET
0 - 4
ELG
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
FAL
3 - 1
ALL
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALL
2 - 0
AIR
36%
27%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALL
0 - 3
DUN
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
QOS
1 - 1
ALL
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ALL
1 - 0
AIR
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |