Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
BLA
2 - 0
PET
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PET
0 - 0
CLY
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
PET
2 - 0
NAI
60%
20%
20%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
PET
1 - 3
STR
26%
23%
51%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
PET
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
CLY
0 - 1
ALL
45%
24%
30%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ALL
1 - 0
STR
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BLA
2 - 0
ALL
62%
20%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ALL
2 - 2
BLA
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ALL
1 - 1
BER
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |