Challenge Cup Group Stages Round 1

Peterhead vs Aberdeen II analysis

Peterhead Aberdeen II
56 ELO 16
6.9% Tilt -5.2%
3582º General ELO ranking 14673º
44º Country ELO ranking 123º
ELO win probability
79.7%
Peterhead
13.1%
Draw
7.1%
Aberdeen II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
Peterhead
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.1%
Win probability
Aberdeen II
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Peterhead
-17%
-7%
Aberdeen II

ELO progression

Peterhead
Aberdeen II
Dundee United II
Spartans
Montrose
Inverness CT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Peterhead
Peterhead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2025
ICT
Inverness CT
2 - 0
Peterhead
PET
58%
25%
17%
57 68 11 0
02 Aug. 2025
PET
Peterhead
4 - 1
East Fife
EAS
37%
28%
35%
55 60 5 +2
26 Jul. 2025
STE
Stenhousemuir
1 - 0
Peterhead
PET
46%
25%
30%
56 57 1 -1
19 Jul. 2025
PET
Peterhead
1 - 2
Clyde
CLY
51%
22%
27%
57 54 3 -1
15 Jul. 2025
MHE
Motherwell
2 - 1
Peterhead
PET
84%
11%
5%
57 80 23 0

Matches

Aberdeen II
Aberdeen II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jul. 2025
FOR
Formartine United
3 - 1
Aberdeen II
ABD
82%
12%
6%
16 52 36 0
16 Jul. 2025
INV
Inverurie Loco Works
3 - 2
Aberdeen II
ABD
81%
13%
7%
16 52 36 0
09 Jul. 2025
PET
Peterhead
4 - 0
Aberdeen II
ABD
79%
14%
8%
16 57 41 0
30 Jul. 2024
BAN
Banks O' Dee
1 - 0
Aberdeen II
ABD
79%
14%
7%
16 56 40 0
15 Aug. 2023
ABD
Aberdeen II
3 - 5
Peterhead
PET
11%
14%
75%
17 40 23 -1