Peterborough United vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DER
2 - 1
POS
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
STE
1 - 0
POS
22%
22%
55%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
POS
4 - 0
LIN
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
POS
2 - 0
SHW
37%
26%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PLY
2 - 0
POS
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 0
STE
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
STE
1 - 0
POS
22%
22%
55%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STE
2 - 1
CUM
48%
25%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
STE
1 - 0
ROC
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WAL
1 - 1
STE
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |