Peterborough United vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
POS
2 - 1
LEY
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
NOR
0 - 1
POS
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1999 |
REA
0 - 0
POS
61%
21%
17%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
POS
2 - 1
HAR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
WRE
1 - 0
POS
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
REA
1 - 2
LUT
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
CAM
3 - 1
REA
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1999 |
REA
0 - 0
POS
61%
21%
17%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
REA
2 - 1
BRI
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
OLD
2 - 0
REA
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |