Peterborough United vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
HER
0 - 1
POS
25%
26%
49%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
TRA
1 - 1
POS
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
POS
1 - 3
YEO
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
BHA
2 - 4
POS
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
HUR
1 - 0
POS
36%
26%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CUM
1 - 2
STO
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BHA
0 - 2
CUM
52%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
CUM
1 - 1
WAL
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
CUM
0 - 2
COL
41%
25%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 2
CUM
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |